Following the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision, a significant profit-taking activity is anticipated within the precious metals market, specifically for Gold and Silver.
While the Fed’s expected interest rate cut initially spurred a rebound in gold prices from a recent low, the accompanying hawkish commentary regarding future rate cuts dampened investor sentiment. The Fed’s indication of a less accommodative monetary policy path in 2025, driven by persistent inflationary pressures, weighed heavily on gold prices.
The Fed’s aggressive approach was focused on controlling inflation, while also signalling confidence in the strength of the U.S. economy. This optimistic outlook can decrease the demand for safe-haven assets, which in turn could negatively impact the outlook for gold.
Spot Gold prices experienced a decline post-Fed announcement, settling at $2583.55 per ounce during the US evening session. Concurrently, February Gold futures contracts closed at $2596.91 per ounce.
Similarly, Silver Spot prices reached $29.261 per ounce, and March Silver futures contracts concluded at $29.692 per ounce during the US evening session.
With the recent drop in precious metals like gold and silver, it’s possible that some investors may engage in profit booking, taking advantage of the price decline. However, looking ahead, it seems that gold could reach new highs.
Gold prices have risen as a result of various factors, including economic uncertainty, inflation concerns, and shifts in investor sentiment. Typically, gold is seen as a safe-haven asset during times of market volatility, economic instability, or inflationary pressures. When investors become worried about the stability of traditional markets or currencies, they often turn to gold as a store of value, driving up its price.
Additionally, changes in interest rates or shifts in central bank policies can also influence gold prices. For example, if there are expectations of lower interest rates or if inflation remains high, gold may become more attractive to investors, leading to a rise in its price.
This optimistic outlook is driven by the upcoming Chinese Lunar New Year and India’s wedding season, both of which are expected to boost demand for gold. During these periods, demand traditionally rises due to cultural practices and celebrations, further supporting the potential for higher gold prices. The seasonal increase in gold purchases could contribute to a price surge in the near future.
Recommended trading strategy for Gold and Silver based on my perspective
Gold Spot (XAUUSD)
Gold prices reached a low of $2583.55 per ounce during today’s evening US sessions. This level could be a good opportunity to buy Gold.
If the prices of gold rises, it may test the 5-day moving average of $2629.88 range per ounce. If it continues to rise, it could reach yesterday’s high of $2652.09 range per ounce. A further rise could take the fresh buying opportunities and prices reached $2664.48 range, weekly high.
Silver Spot (XAGUSD)
Silver prices reached a low of $29.261 range during today’s evening US sessions. This level could be a good opportunity to buy Silver.
If the prices of silver rise, it may test the 5-day moving average of $30.106 range. If it continues to rise, it could reach yesterday’s high of $30.596 range. A further rise could take the fresh buying opportunities and prices reached $30.753 range, weekly high.
In Conclusion, The Federal Reserve’s decision to cut interest rates, while initially boosting precious metals prices like Gold and Silver, were tempered by a less dovish outlook on future rate cuts. This hawkish stance, driven by persistent inflationary concerns, suggests a tighter monetary policy environment in the near future. Consequently, profit-taking activity is expected to prevail in the precious metals market. Traders should monitor inflation trends, the strength of the dollar, and overall economic conditions to make informed decisions in the aftermath of a Fed rate cut.
